A fuzzy multicriteria decision making approach to case-based reasoning for tropical cyclone prediction

The Internet has created new opportunities but also complexities in the operations and services of meteorological centres. Through exchange of meteorological data the Internet has introduced new methodologies and techniques for processing distributed meteorological data. Forecasters need to embrace massive technological innovations, new operating systems, and new types of information, tight deadlines and high demand for up-to-date and reliable weather prediction. To address these concerns, we propose a framework for casebased decision support to assist a forecaster through utilising various historical meteorological data potentially available through the Internet search. We also develop a multicriteria heuristic method for case-based reasoning and explore its potential use in supporting a forecaster during the forecast process for tropical cyclone prediction.